Wednesday, February 28, 2007

Happy Ayyam-i-Ha !


Happy Ayyam-i-Ha!


What is Ayyam-i-Ha?
"Baha'is celebrate the festival of Ayyam-i-Ha each year from sunset on Feb. 25 to sunset of March 1 as a preparation for the Fast, which begins March 2 and ends March 20. During Ayyam-i-Ha, members of the Faith perform acts of charity, give gifts to friends and family, and attend social gatherings."
(from http://www.bahai.us/node/74 )
My gifts to my readers:

Here's a shortcut to the most uplifting, positive posts from this weblog to start your new year right! Let me know if I missed one of your favorites!

The Importance of Social Relationships (short)

1) For a human to sustain peak performance, it is not enough to engage the brain; we have to engage the heart.
Positive Deviance - (the new business model)
What I find refreshing and inspirational is that actual companies and business schools are even starting to think about humans in positive way
Virtue drives the bottom line (many references)

Religion, business, and science are often depicted as in conflict, so it catches the attention when all three of them agree on something. That something needs to be investigated.

Pathways to Peace ( Link to a beautiful multimedia show on virtues)
a beautiful musical slide show of virtues, quotes and Nature to inspire hope and action. Produced for the Pathways to Peace Project
Houston, we have a problem! (On the need for teamwork and consultation)
An "Interdisciplinary" team is a very different animal. It assumes that the problem is irreducibly large, and cannot be broken down into a set of somethings that one person can manage.
Importance of Social Relationships (with references)
A story is told of two stone-masons working on a huge church in Europe, one with great work and one with sloppy work that needed to be torn down and redone. When asked what they were doing, the poor one said: "I'm building a wall." The other said: "I'm building a cathedral." The spiritual issue matters so much it hurts, in ways science doesn't begin to grasp at the moment.
You can say that again! (On the importance of saying positive things twice)

The end of our exploring (T. S. Eliot)
T.S. Eliot, in the Four Quartets , said
We shall not cease from exploration
And the end of our exploring
Will be to arrive where we started
And know the place for the first time.



Baha'i US Center












Baha'i World Center

Sunday, February 25, 2007

National Patient Safety Awareness Week

NPSF Patient Safety Awareness Week
March 4-10, 2007
Posters, ideas, activities

National Patient Safety Foundation
http://www.npsf.org/
Conference ("Congress") : May 3-4, 2007 Washington DC
Journal: Journal of Patient Safety ($180+ /year)
==================
IHI.org
Institute for Healthcare Improvement
http://www.ihi.org/ihi
All improvement, some focus on safety
===========================
American Health Quality Association
Patient Safety Initiatives
And List of various state QIO's
The American Health Quality Association represents Quality Improvement Organizations (QIOs) and professionals working to improve the quality of health care in communities across America. QIOs share information about best practices with physicians, hospitals, and nursing homes. Working together with health care providers, QIOs identify opportunities and provide assistance for improvement.

MPRO - "The Michigan QIO"
http://www.mpro.org/
"MPRO, the Michigan QIO, is an active member of the Michigan Health and Safety Coalition, comprised of health care plans such as Blue Cross Blue Shield of Michigan (BCBSM), health care providers, medical associations, state agencies such as the Michigan Department of Community Health, as well as the three major auto companies and auto unions" (from AHQA's site)

"Through our Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services contract, MPRO serves as Michigan's Quality Improvement Organization (QIO) and assists Michigan's health care providers." (MPRO's self description)

========================
Michigan Health and Safety Coalition
2006 Conference Presentations
The 2007 Michigan Health and Safety Coalition Annual Patient Safety Conference will be held for two full days on Wednesday, March 28 and Thursday, March 29 at the Somerset Inn, Troy, MI
Participating Organizations (Go to MHSC for working links)

>>Blue Cross Blue Shield of Michigan

DaimlerChrysler Corporation

Ford Motor Company

General Motors Corporation

International Union, UAW

>>Michigan Association of Health Plans

Michigan Consumer Health Care Coalition

Michigan Department of Community Health

Michigan Education Special Services Association

Michigan Health & Hospital Association

Michigan Nurses Association

Michigan Osteopathic Association

MPRO

Michigan Pharmacists Association

Michigan State Medical Society


====================
GDAHC - Greater Detroit Area Health Council -
http://www.gdahc.org/programs_resources.asp
Southeast Michigan Regional Healthcare Coalition

GDAHC presents the following list:

Community Resources
Links to Local Community Resources.

The Greater Detroit Area Health Council is pleased to provide links to some of the area's top community resources for healthcare related information.

Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ)
Advancing Excellence in Health Care. A mission to improve the quality, safety, efficiency and effectiveness of healthcare for all Americans. Information from AHRQ’s research helps people make more informed decisions and improve the quality of health care services.
John M. Eisenberg Building, 540 Gaither Road, Rockville, MD 20850
Phone: 301-427-1364
http://www.ahrq.gov

Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ) Healthcare 411 Audio Newscast Series
The Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ), part of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, has a new audio newscast series to help keep you informed of the Agency's latest health care research findings, news, and information. AHRQ is the lead Federal agency in the effort to improve patient safety and reduce medical errors. Go to www.healthcare411.ahrq.gov to hear the newscasts through your computer or download them to a portable digital player such as an iPod®.
John M. Eisneberg Building, 540 Gaither Road, Rockville, MD 20850
Phone: 301-427-1364
http://healthcare411.ahrq.gov

American Red Cross - Southeastern Michigan
American Red Cross of Southeastern Michigan - serving Macomb, Oakland and Wayne counties.
100 Mack Avenue P.O. Box 33351, Detroit, MI 48232
Phone: 313-833-4440
http://www.semredcross.org

Detroit Wayne County Health Authority
The Detroit Wayne County Health Authority is a collaboration between the city of Detroit, County of Wayne, the State of Michigan, health providers and community members to improve the health of the citizens of Detroit and Wayne County. Its mission is to coordinate efforts to meet the health needs of the uninsured and under-insured residents in Detroit and Wayne County by assuring access and improving health status of all people.

Phone: 313-874-7443
http://www.dwcha.org

Michigan Health and Safety Coalition
The Michigan Health and Safety Coalition (MH&SC) is a collaborative quality improvement effort focused on improving patient safety in Michigan.
27000 W. 11 Mile Road, Mail Code: B713, Southfield, MI 48034
Phone: 248-448-6266
http://www.mihealthandsafety.org

Michigan Steps Up
Michigan Steps Up is a program of the Michigan Department of Community Health established by Surgeon General Kimberlydawn Wisdom.Step 1. Move More. Step 2. Eat Better. Step 3. Don't Smoke.
MDCH -- Office of the Surgeon General, Captial View, 7th Floor, 201 Townsend, Lansing, MI 48913
Phone: 517-373-3500
http://www.michigan.gov

National Business Coalition on Health
The National Business Coalition on Health (NBCH) is a national, non-profit, membership organization of employer-based health coalitions. NBCH and its members are dedicated to value-based purchasing of health care services through the collective action of public and private purchasers.

Phone: 202-775-9300
http://www.nbch.org

Physician Survey Data 2005
Released by the Michigan Department of Community Health.
Washington Square Building, 7th Floor, 109 Michigan Avenue, Lansing, MI 48913
Phone: 517-373-3500
http://www.mhc.org/mhc_images/physiciansurvey2005.pdf

Prescription Relief
Prescription Relief is a community service program that increases access to prescription drugs for low-income residents. Through the program, maintenance prescription drugs are available for $8 per prescription, per month for eligible residents. Seniors enrolled in the Medicare Rx Program are not eligible to participate.
5555 Glendon Court, Dublin, OH
Phone: 1-866-378-4686
http://www.prescriptionrelief.com

United Way - Southeastern Michigan
United Way for Southeastern Michigan - serving Macomb, Oakland and Wayne counties.
1212 Griswold, Detroit, MI 48226
Phone: 313-226-9200
http://www.uwcs.org

ACGME - Accreditation Council for Graduate Medical Education
http://www.acgme.org/acWebsite/home/home.asp



Articles
Consumers as partners - Martin Hatlie JD
From Patient Safety and Quality Healthcare
www.psqh.com

To date, almost all patient safety reform agendas [ in the USA ] have marginalized consumer input. ...These approaches fail to appreciate that not all, but many consumers are intelligent, fully-functioning adults... Indeed, at this moment in history some consumers have been trained and work in industries significantly ahead of healthcare in understanding organizational risk management, systems-based quality improvement, high-reliability performance, teamwork, and communication in complex, dynamic, human enterprises.

... Other developed countries appear to be moving forward significantly faster [than the USA] on implementation. The UK, Australia, and Canada already have patient safety authorities in place ... In addition, the World Health Organization (WHO) launched a World Alliance for Patient Safety in October of this year [2004] dedicated to "bringing significant benefits to patient sin countries rich and poor, developed and developing, in all corners of the globe(WHO,2004)" Under the leadership of Sir Liam Donaldosn, MSC MD,chief medical officer of England, the WHO Alliance includes six action ares, including a global challenge to reduce healthcare-associated infection in 2005-2006 and, notably, a Patient for Patient Safety initiative that actually relies on consumers to develop and leadimplementation of its objectives.

Progress elsewhere may be partially explained by structural differences..., less ...litigation ... [and] leadership...[ and the role of public health.]

JCAHO is also poised to play a key role in coordinating WHO patient safety work in the U.S.

World Health Organization
http://www.who.int/patientsafety/en/
World Alliance for Patient Safety [WHO]
http://www.who.int/patientsafety/about/en/index.html

Sunday, February 04, 2007

Avian flu confirmed in England - in turkeys

Avian flu (H5N1) has made it to England.

This raises again the question I addressed earlier today in Home Monitoring Industry, of wishing an emergency room or other surveillance unit could , upon releasing a questionable case, leave an electronic tether on them to be notified if things improve or get worse following release.

Deadly Bird Flu confirmed in BritishTurkeys
New York Times
Alan Cowell
Feb 4, 2007
excerpt:

LONDON, Feb. 3 — British authorities confirmed Saturday that an outbreak of bird flu discovered among turkeys at a poultry farm in eastern Britain had been caused by the deadly A(H5N1) strain, which has killed humans in other parts of the world.

The disease has killed 2,500 turkeys near Lowestoft since Thursday, making it the biggest outbreak of the strain reported in Britain since concern about its global spread began to take root in 2003.

An additional 160,000 birds will now be culled in an effort to contain the outbreak, government officials said.


No immediate risk

Fred Landeg, a senior government veterinarian, said there was no public health concern. “Avian influenza is a disease of birds,” he said, “and whilst it can pass very rarely and with difficulty to humans, this requires extremely close contact with infected birds, particularly feces.”

How did it get to England?

The disease is commonly transmitted to farmed birds by infected migrating birds.

But since 2003, 164 people, most of them in Asia, have died of the A(H5N1) strain, and authorities worry that the virus could easily become transmissible among humans to create a global pandemic. About 200 million birds have either died or been killed in the same period.

On Saturday, the World Health Organization confirmed that the strain had killed a 22-year-old Nigerian woman, making her the first known human fatality in sub-Saharan Africa, Reuters reported.

Tests carried out at a laboratory in London confirmed the findings of Nigerian health authorities, who announced on Wednesday that the woman had died after catching the virus from an infected chicken.

Incidentally, we note that the migratory patterns of birds is heavily influenced by the climate, so all of this may be a downstream effect of global warming and human-induced instability in the plantet's weather.

South Dakota hospital gets $400 million gift

Global competition for pediatrics business increases:

From today's New York Times
Hopes Soar after Record Hospital Gift of $400 Million

by Stephanie Strom

excerpt:

Now, T. Denny Sanford, a low-key billionaire who made his home and fortune here, will help sustain the state’s economic boom with a $400 million gift to the Sioux Valley Hospitals and Health System, the state’s largest employer. Hospital officials hope the gift — the largest ever to a hospital, according to the Center for Philanthropy at Indiana University — will help transform Sioux Valley Hospitals, which will change its name to Sanford Health, into a national institution that will eclipse Johns Hopkins and the Mayo Clinic.

“He told me he doesn’t want this to be just another Mayo,” said Kelby K. Krabbenhoft, Sioux Valley’s chief executive.

It has four stated goals: to build five pediatric clinics around the country; to expand research, especially in pediatrics; to build a health care campus with more than 20 separate facilities, and to identify a promising line of medical research and follow it to a cure, much the same way John D. Rockefeller’s money found a cure for yellow fever and Bill Gates is searching for a cure for H.I.V./AIDS.

Home monitoring industry - and privacy

As more and more people need to monitor elderly parents , Information Technology is providing ways to do that remotely. Would parents want the same setup to track their children away at college?

This is beginning to look a lot like strategic IT, use of "technology mediated collaboration" to cut health care costs and dramatically transform the way hospitals think of themselves and provide quality control over extensive services.

Or, would anyone want something similar to keep track of a friend or family member who was an inpatient in a hospital. There's an interesting question. Would hospitals encourage this constant vigilance from outsiders or discourage it? Given the shortage in nursing care in many places, maybe this is destined to become a new feature of in-patient hospital care.

For that matter, maybe no one should even go for an out-patient visit without being wired up and having a remote group of friends and family virtually along for the ride, aware of everything being done or not done. I can recall personally going to a large chain hospital emergency room for chest pains, being looked at briefly and put into a solitary closed room, and not seeing another human being for the next 80 minutes. I would have really preferred that someone at least would know if I fell over. The reason it's called "observation unit" is because someone is supposed to be "observing" the patient and would know if they collapsed.

Again, we have technological capacity (a remote TV video monitor) versus privacy concerns competing for more visibility versus less visiblity. These issues need to be addressed.

It raises the question as well as to whether some "observation unit" patients couldn't be released early, if heavily remotely monitored, or if some observation patients taking up Emergency Department beds couldn't be physically sent home, or to the cafeteria, or anywhere except taking up a bed, while they were still in "electronic tether" range and being monitored remotely. That could free up beds for people who really need them.

Today's New York Times has an article
In Elder Care, Signing On Becomes a Way to Drop By
Christine Larson
Feb 4, 2007

CONNIE ARAPS, 57, of Delray Beach, Fla., thought that her father, Tom Araps, 87, was managing just fine on his own. But when he came to stay with her for a few months in 2005, she found that he was skipping meals, sleeping all morning and not taking daily walks.

To satisfy her father’s desire to live alone, but to ease her mind about his safety, Ms. Araps found an apartment for him less than a mile from her home and had it equipped with QuietCare, a home health alarm system provided by ADT Security Services.

She drops by his apartment often, and logs into a Web site several times a day to check on him. Motion sensors track how often Mr. Araps opens the refrigerator, when he gets out of bed and how long he stays in the bathroom. If his normal patterns vary, the alarm company alerts her.

One day, the company called her to say that no one had entered or left the apartment all day. It turned out that a home health aide had failed to show up, and her father had not received his diabetes medication. Ms. Araps rushed over and made sure that her father took his pills.

“We are so pleased with all the technology,” she said. “I don’t think we would have let him live alone without it.” On the market since August, the QuietCare system costs $199 to install, and monitoring starts at $79.95 a month. In addition to the QuietCare system, Ms. Araps had the alarm company install video cameras showing the floors and the foot of her father’s bed, so she could see if he had fallen.

Other items:
* 19 million americans care for someone over age 75, according to National Alliance for Caregiving.
* QuietCare - alrm technology
* Nursing homes have been using this technology for years (peek ahead), and a few allow family members to view the data remotely. More are moving into home versions.
* Not all systems are emergency alarms, according to the Times:

A system called iCare Health Monitoring uses a very different model. It is not meant to serve as an emergency alarm system. Instead, it tries to prevent emergencies by allowing care providers, family members and older people themselves keep track of specific health data, like blood pressure, weight or medications use. Nurses monitor the system, but not around the clock.

Using a small electronic device with a text screen and four input buttons, the system asks a series of daily multiple-choice questions about an older person’s health. Family members or other care providers can view the answers online and look for any telltale changes in health. Available through www.cvs.com and some CVS pharmacy stores since July, the system costs $99 to install and $49.95 a month for monitoring.

Alberta Jackson, 78, of Aurora, Colo., who has chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, uses iCare to track her lung function every day. She spends about eight minutes a day answering questions. Once when she responded that she was not feeling well, a nurse called within minutes to check on her.

A final warning:

While geriatric care managers can offer invaluable help to families, the industry is largely unregulated.

“There are fabulous care managers out there who really know the whole system and are well trained,” Ms. Stone said. “But, buyer, beware: there is no required accreditation.” Only a few states require care managers to be licensed, although care managers who are also nurses or social workers may have state licenses.

Starting in 2010, the National Association of Professional Geriatric Care Managers will require all its members to hold one of four specific certifications in care management or social work.

Geriatric care managers usually charge $80 to $200 an hour, depending on the services provided. The managers can have vastly differing backgrounds, typically in nursing or social work. “If your mother has complex medical problems, you probably want a nurse,” said Andrew Carle, assistant professor and director of the program in assisted living/senior housing administration at George Mason University in Fairfax, Va. “If she’s lonely or has social issues, a social worker might be a better fit.”



*But, not everyone wants big brother looking over their shoulder. Interestingly enough,
there was another article in the Times today on the far end of the Privacy spectrum:
States Oppose National Driver's Licence

WASHINGTON (AP) -- A revolt against a national driver's license, begun in Maine last month, is quickly spreading to other states.

The Maine Legislature on Jan. 26 overwhelmingly passed a resolution objecting to the Real ID Act of 2005. The federal law sets a national standard for driver's licenses and requires states to link their record-keeping systems to national databases.

Within a week of Maine's action, lawmakers in Georgia, Wyoming, Montana, New Mexico, Vermont and Washington state also balked at Real ID. They are expected soon to pass laws or adopt resolutions declining to participate in the federal identification network.

''It's the whole privacy thing,'' said Matt Sundeen, a transportation analyst for the National Conference of State Legislatures. ''A lot of legislators are concerned about privacy issues and the cost. It's an estimated $11 billion implementation cost.''

The law's supporters say it is needed to prevent terrorists and illegal immigrants from getting fake identification cards.

States will have to comply by May 2008. If they do not, driver's licenses that fall short of Real ID's standards cannot be used to board an airplane or enter a federal building or open some bank accounts.

About a dozen states have active legislation against Real ID, including Arizona, Georgia, Hawaii, Massachusetts, Missouri, New Hampshire, Oklahoma, Utah and Wyoming.

With reimbursement and regulatory requirements pushing patients out of hospitals sooner,
this becomes more and more of an issue on tracking patients for the first few days after they have left the hospital setting and are transitioning to home care or new medications.

From personal experience again, I know that when a child of mine is released with instructions to me to "keep an eye on her and let us know if anything changes", it exhausts me trying to figure out what level of change constitutes a problem sufficient to drop everything and drive over to the hospital. This is probably a very wide-spread problem.



Wednesday, January 24, 2007

Healthcare IT as strategic a collaboration edge

Thornton A. May had a piece in the Jan 22 Computerworld, on "Why Don't More CIOs become CEOs?'

As he said in I T May have become too Invisible, (Computerworld, May 2005) "The challenge for the discipline is that most of the executives currently involved in such activities don't think of IT as being able to contribute much in the transformation and innovation arena. What's worse, the people who will take those executives' places don't really think about IT people at all."

Public Health shares one major problem with enterprise IT - when it works perfectly, it's perfectly invisible. So we have the "baffling" situation where politicians complain loudly about the total health care bill ($1.7 trillion this year), while ignoring the fact that we currently spend under 2% of that on prevention, and over 98% on heroic repair. The prevention, like a clean water supply, is invisible and taken for granted. The heroic repair garners huge headlines and grateful recipients funding new buildings.

A second problem is one of image. Computing professionals today are concerned about many issues ranging from social dynamics to algorithms for collaboration to design of safe and high-reliable systems, knowledge representation, library science, etc. But the mental image many people have of it is somewhere between "payroll system" and "those people who store my data for me." It's the Rodney Dangerfield phenomenon, and it "don't get no respect" for what it is today, not what it was 30 years ago. The same thing is true in public health - tremendous advances in understanding social dynamics are invisible and public health is viewed as "insurance for poor people."

The orphan of both worlds, health care information technology, is in even a worse boat,
almost completely misunderstood and downplayed by the corporate world, by hospitals,
by public health, and invisible to patients, except when it breaks.

The fairly certain idea that increasing prevention to, say, 5% of the budget would cut downstream repair costs by 50% has close to zero traction. People evolved to be locally-oriented animals, and this "distal causality" concept apparently has no internal template or neural wiring to hang its hat on. People look at it, nod "yes", then go back to what they were doing unchanged.

Many business leaders share the "IT Doesn't Matter" mindset May quoted coming from Harvard's B-School in your June 2003 article " Harvard Flunks IT."



So, here's some thoughts.

First, yes, there's a serious visibility problem for enterprise IT. A perfectly done migration of a thousand servers from Oracle 9 to Oracle 10G will involve a huge amount of effort, and be 100% invisible to the users. The better it's done, the more invisible it is. There is about zero appreciation of how much scurrying under the covers it takes to keep on patching and migrating every component while keeping the visible surface rock solid, stable, and level. There is even less appreciation of long-range planning that avoids problems ever coming to the forefront in the first place.

Second, May said in the Harvard IT piece, "What Carr doesn't seem to understand is that the future is all about the evolution and blurring of the interface between people and our machines." I guess I agree that the entity that is evolving on a global scale now is a hybrid of human and digital components, which are co-evolving and increasingly hard to disentangle.

IT is increasingly shifting on the socio-technical axis from the "technical" end to the "social" end. That has several consequences. When IT attempts to deal with enterprise issues such as privacy, or a decision about what email system to use, the dysfunctions of the social structure are projected onto IT and IT is blamed for the resulting visible problems (see the
Oxford University example below).

Conversely, many people hope to totally avoid having to deal with social dysfunctions in their organizations and hope that somehow, with magic, putting in a new software application will cause their social problems to evaporate. If anything, the reverse is probably true, as people who were comfortable in separate silos of specialty areas suddenly now are force to deal with each other over common lexicons and applications.

Oxford is one step beyond Harvard in the model of many "ships on their own bottoms" (or "silos" in health care), each doing their own thing and refusing to cooperate, almost on general principle. I was looking at Oxford to see, OK, if we were to let academics rule the world, what would it be like?

Oxford University's IT planning documents are on line. Here's the Corporate Plan and the
Draft ICT plan .

Oxford's budget is about $200 million in the hole, each year, and sinking fast. They have heated debates but can't agree on what email system or calendar to use. But, hey, they've only had 1,100 years to sort out how to collaborate. Maybe they should get a 1 year extension on the due date for their paper.

So, it's actually then worse than invisible - IT is selectively visible only when it forces unpleasant and unacceptable social dysfunctions to become visible. Or, in evolutionary terms, IT is slowly applying an evolutionary fitness pressure on the humans to learn how to cooperate and collaborate.

And, if we believe many researchers at B-Schools who I do, in fact, agree with, these changes in culture are pivotal to creating dynamic, productive, high-performance, high-reliability organizations. The literature is becoming quite solid on the crucial role of culture in any organization that wants to produce reliable output under stress, which is pretty much all of us.

So, the large-scale, slowly changing IT infrastructure tends to become invisible to the rapidly changing, short-time-horizon CEO's.

I think one major opportunity here is to revitalize the definition of "IT" to make it much more of a socio-technical endeavor, with much more emphasis on the "socio" part.

In fact, we know that most IT projects fail, and that most of them fail over social dysfunctions in the organizational information gathering, model building, and decision-making processes. An increasing amount of academic research is revealing the distinction between legacy applications that had many individual users, and new applications, such as email or EHR, that require groups of users. All of our hard-won intuition about how single user software, such as tax preparation or a spreadsheet works, doesn't carry over into how mulitple-collaborating-user software operates or crashes and burns. This type of field is studied by Professor Gary Olson's course here at the School of Information in "Technology Mediated Collaboration", ( see http://www.si.umich.edu/research/area.htm?AreaID=3 )

But the electronic health record isn't some passive database, is the problem - it's a matrix that facilitates and forces cooperation and collaboration between doctors in different specialty areas who don't like to work with each other. It's all about what Technorati's Sifry calls "the conversation". This is new generation software where either everyone agrees on how to use it, or it won't work. And there's the new stumbling block that people aren't

But, because mentally, systems such as CPOE (Computerized Physician Order Entry) are viewed as technical challenges, not as socio-technical challenges, the design and development teams don't include cognitive psychologists, social psychologists, or anthropologists, and the social problems that tend to crash such deployment are not only unseen, but almost impossible from that perspective.

It's not one company's fault. The whole US and much of Western Civilization is caught up in the craze, as blazoned on the cover of Time magazine repeatedly, that "Our Technology is What will Save Us!" As I've noted before, this is actually more like what T. S. Eliot noted, in Choruses from The Rock (1934):
They constantly try to escape
From the darkness outside and within
By dreaming of systems so perfect that no one will need to be good.

But the man that is shall shadow
The man that pretends to be.
Top Business schools, such as the University of Michigan's Ross School of Business, are now discovering the "new" concept that human emotions and psychology and even character and integrity are the keystones around which a solid bottom-line is delivered to shareholders.

The point is that humans are not actually primarily "rational actors" and getting them to all go the same direction is, indeed, worse than "herding cats." Top-down directives by "Deciders" such as Bush don't result in everyone (even the military) saluting and going that way.

Worse, even if humans do try their best to listen, obey, and comply with top-down orders, unless there is room for them to grow as human beings, the experience is more like becoming a member of Star Trek's "Borg" than joining a winning sports team. Unless the heart is engaged, having the mind try to comply doesn't actually work in the long run. Humans are not computers. Feelings matter. "Soft" social factors matter. Virtue affects the bottom line.

Now it's becoming very clear that cooperation and collaboration and high-performance teams are keys to corporate bottom-line success, more so than an internal culture of adversity and competitiveness. Glimmers of this show up in the new "agile" project managment techniques.

But, everywhere, we see the need for small-team support. The Institute of Medicine's key document "Crossing the Quality Chasm" focuses on "microsystems" as the appropriate unit to focus organizational change on - that is, small teams of people who work together to deliver a product or care for a patient. Again, design of systems to facilitate small-group small-team feedback and self-management, smaller-scale dashboards than enterprise size ones, is crucial.

And, yes, virtue drives the bottom line. There's a limit to how high a management pyramid one can build out of self-serving individuals and have the whole thing still function as a healthy unit. If the people are bonded to each other, we can build soaring structures, but if the people basically cut themselves off from each other emotionally and spiritually, we get just a big sand pile that collapses under its own weight.

The serious academic literature is beginning to support that fact, and it's a fact that technology,
by itself, if not socio-technical, cannot cure. There's a corner here we have to recognize and decide, are we a "train" company or are we a "transportation" company -- are we going to fight air travel, or start providing it? Are we going to fight social factor engineering as part of the IT core competencies for the new century, or are we going to embrace it as our new wings?

This is getting way more into Web 2.0 and interactive participation than ever before, and all the power of that, which should be part of "IT", is so far missing from the equation.

What's all that say. It says that the way upwards for CIO's is to move IT back into the strategic core of the business, visibly, by bringing in a new component under the IT banner of IT as the supporting web for social collaboration, small-team functioning, agile programming, etc. That means embracing Web 2.0 participatory interactions, which involves breaking the grip of tight, top-down, theory-X management styles.

This is the same battle agile techniques are fighting from within - to be free to grow and be facilitated, not squashed, squelched, and stomped out. There's a very deep top-down hierarchy legacy history this has to overcome, like any paradigm change. There are also very real examples of where "soft" social factors are fluff, and need to be ignored, that opponents of the new paradigm can rally behind. A solid case needs to be build, slowly, reducing the heated debate.

So, it comes down to a redefinition of the field, as train companies, faced with the arrival of airplanes, had to decide if they were really train companies, or transportation companies.
For health care IT to become strategic, it has to get out of the basement and start demonstrating power at cutting big chunks, on the order of 30% or more, out of the
nation's health care bill.

IT, in my view, is at that juncture. If the field is viewed as "data processing", yes, strategically, it is a commodity. If the field is view as "electronic facilitation through feedback-based shaping of high-performance culture", it moves back into the limelight.

Too many people's mental models of projects such as the CPOE are 95% technical, and 5%, afterthought, social. IT leadership, true leadership, will see that reversed. The job is primarily social re-engineering, changing the conversation, through the leverage handles available surrounding an "IT project".

That's using the hybrid (human and digital) tools at our disposal in the most productive fashion. In my reading, that's what needs to be changed to bring IT back into the leadership circle, and get a new lease on life that's central to evolution of the man-machine hybrid culture ahead of us.

Tuesday, January 23, 2007

Climate change and avian flu risks

China daily had a photo today of some of the 100,000 migratory geese, ducks, swans, and cranes that are occupying the reservoir in Henan province - apparently an unusual event due to recent warming of the climate in that area.

This is just another example of how unexpected climate changes can alter all the predictive models of how avian species interact with human food and water supplies.

It's also another example of how it is difficult to predict public health epidemiology without tracking what's going on in Asia in general and China in specific, in terms of interactions of birds and people.

China closing on US in number of internet users

According to China Daily, January 24, 2007, the number of internet users in China is
poised to pass the number in the USA within two years. The article goes on:

China is expected to overtake the United States to have the world's largest Internet population within two years, a quasi-government organization said yesterday.

The country had 137 million Internet users by the end of last year, an increase of 23.4 percent year-on-year, according to a biannual report released by the China Internet Networks Information Centre (CNNIC).

"The growth is now gaining much momentum. We are expecting even faster growth in 2007 and 2008 given that Internet penetration now has exceeded 10.5 percent in the country," said Wang.

The CNNIC report found that Internet access in China is going increasingly broadband and mobile. The country had 90.7 million broadband users by 2006, up 41.1 percent year-on-year. And about 17 million mobile phones users are now using their handsets to access the Web.

Mao Wei, director of CNNIC, said an increasingly mobile liifestyle in China could help spark an even bigger Internet boom.

The growth of China's Internet population could get a boost after the country rolls out 3G (third generation) mobile telephony, which promises faster Internet access and downloads of data-heavy services such as videos, the director said.

China had 461 million mobile phone users by the end of 2006, according to statistics released by the Ministry of Information Industry on Monday.

With user penetration hitting 10 percent, the Internet would create a vast array of opportunities for businesses.

Morgan Stanley anticipates escalated industry consolidation in China's Internet sector this year, with "market share shifting to a few market leaders" such as NASDAQ-listed Sina Corp, Sohu.com, Baidu, Hong Kong-listed Tencent and unlisted Alibaba.

Pfizer to close Ann Arbor research facility

According to many news sources, including the New York Times and the Detroit Free Press, Pfizer's worldwide cutbacks announced monday include shutting the entire Ann Arbor research facility, which directly employs 2100 people. Pfizer is also the largest taxpaying company in Ann Arbor.

Detroit Free Press:
Pfizer Job Losses are Blow to Ann Arbor
Jan 23, 2007

Ann Arbor, which has been a bright spot in Michigan's bleak economy, got a taste Monday of what the rest of the state is going through.

About 2,100 jobs will be gone. Pfizer's 2-million-square-foot research hub will become empty....

But many workers are expected to follow their Pfizer jobs to other states. The company plans to transfer up to 70% of the jobs that will be displaced in Ann Arbor.

"I think the worst effect is that it essentially undermines our efforts to diversify our economy away from the auto industry," Grimes said. "We just took it on the chin in the area that we wanted to go into."

The city and state's tax rolls will take a hit, too.

Pfizer is Ann Arbor's largest taxpayer. In 2005, the company paid $4.5 million in taxes to the city, or 6.2% of the city's $72 million in tax revenue. That year the company paid $12.6 million in taxes to state and local governments.



The New York times reported:
Pfizer, Hurt by Rival Drugs, Will Lay off 7800
Jan 23, 2007

Pfizer said yesterday that it would cut 7,800 workers, close several manufacturing and research sites and overhaul its business practices in hopes of coping with competition from cheaper generic drugs and setbacks in developing new products.

The new layoffs are in addition to 2,200 that Pfizer announced last month, when it cut its American sales force by 20 percent. The 10,000 job reductions, involving all parts of the company around the world, account for about 10 percent of Pfizer’s global work force.

The cuts will include closing a plant in Brooklyn that employs 600 people, and research sites in Michigan employing about 2,400 people. [Page C6.]

In the Ann Arbor News, the layoffs were associated with a need for a culture change, although the direct reference to Pfizer was missing.

A critical point here, that is not made explicitly, is that even extraordinarily good research staff can be "neutralized" by a wet-blanket culture that discourages exploration and innovation.

It is not sufficient to have great people, and even great research facilities, which Pfizer did - a company must also have a great innovation culture, which apparently Pfizer did not. If that's true, it's not a reflection on the staff, but on management's failure to shape the culture.

As with the rest of "system thinking", where "blame" is more correctly pointed at "the system" not the hapless worker who was last on the causal chain, we have to ask if closing the research facility is tackling the correct problem. We can recall the worst performing engine manufacturing plant that GM had that was taken over by, I think, Toyota, which changed
under a dozen top people, and became the best performing engine planet in the world.

You have to wonder what would motivate Pfizer top management to care, a broader problem with CEO "compensation" in the USA today. According to the Ann Arbor News, former CEO Hank McKinnell departed in July, under pressure, following a 40 percent slide in Pfizer stock prices - and "left with what could easily be described as a $83 million golden parachute."



The article on page D1 of
The Ann Arbor News
Jan 22, 2007
Pfizer's test: changing the culture
by Mary McDonough

Pfizer has been open about the need to change its bureaucratic culture. Top-ranking officials have often been quoted sayign the company can't cost-cut its wayt o innovation and instead needs to encourage its people on the R&D side to discover new drugs more quickly.

One local life sicences entrepreneur told me [that a Pfizer folks ] aren't encouraged to "think outside the box".

How important is company culture?

Ann Arbor based Denison Consulting, which attempts to quantify exactly that, released its newest study Friday. ...

The Denison Consulting report PR Newswire summary can be found at
HRMarketer.com
Latest Study from Denison Consulting Determines that Companies with High-Performance culture deliver...

ANN ARBOR, Mich., Jan. 25 /PRNewswire/ --

According to the latest research conducted by Denison Consulting, companies that demonstrate higher levels of performance in key areas of organizational culture -- including adaptability, consistency, mission and involvement -- tend to deliver better results in return- on-assets, sales growth and shareholder value.

"It's possible to measure, monitor and influence organizational culture, and we have developed scientifically valid tools to accomplish such vital tasks," said Dan Denison, who co-founded Denison Consulting, along with his business partner Bill Neale, in the 1990s. The company, with headquarters in Ann Arbor, Michigan, also operates offices in Zurich, Switzerland and Shanghai, China.

Experts in organizational development, Denison and Neale have created survey instruments that have been used in North America, Europe and Asia to help businesses improve their results. During the past 10 years, more than 4,000 organizations have polled their employees using the Denison Organizational Culture Survey (DOCS), a tool for diagnosing organizational culture and performance.

Ryan Smerek, a research analyst at Denison Consulting, led the most recent study. He examined data from a sample of 102 companies that had deployed the DOCS survey between 1996 and 2004. Businesses that achieved the best scores in the poll were compared with those earning the lowest scores in the survey. In effect, the top quartile -- or 25 percent of the sample -- was contrasted with the lowest quartile group.

Companies with the best organizational culture scores earned an average return-on-assets of 6.3 percent, vs. 4.5 percent for firms with the lowest organizational scores. The top-quartile firms achieved average, one-year sales growth of 15.1 percent, as compared with .1 percent for the lowest-quartile group. And companies with the best culture scores also led in shareholder value, with average market-to-book values of 440 percent as compared to 350 percent for firms with the lowest culture scores. (A company's market-to-book value is the ratio of the market price of its shares over its book value in total equity.)

"These results represent a dramatic affirmation of the importance of organizational culture, and its link to real-world business results," said Smerek. "The companies that achieved higher scores on mission, consistency, involvement and adaptability earned $6,300 for every $100,000 in assets, while those with lower cultural scores earned $4,500 for every $100,000," he said. "That's a huge difference -- a return-on-assets difference totaling 40 percent."

Researchers at Denison Consulting also took a longer-term look at the 102 companies in the sample. During a three-year period, the firms with the best organizational culture scores significantly outperformed their industry peers, as well as the companies with the lowest organizational culture scores, in all three outcome areas -- return-on-assets, sales growth, and shareholder value.

A previous study by Denison Consulting found that organizations with higher DOCS scores do a better job in satisfying their customers, vs. organizations with lower DOCS scores.

"Organizational culture is extremely important to business success, and the really good news is that it is not a soft science," said Denison. "With valid data on an organization's culture, we can pinpoint areas for improvement and predict the positive business results that are likely to be achieved with the right interventions and action plans."

Information on Dennison Consulting is available on-line. Even from the graphic on that website, one can see they're using the "clash of cultures" model - the circle on the right with 4 colors being the classic logo, as is the logo on the top left of the webpage.

Organizational culture is a core research focus at the University of Michgan's Ross School of Business.

An example of University of Michigan use of the Denison culture survey is available on-line. Slide 28 captures the key ideas:

  • Build the organization around teams, not individuals.
  • Require performance appraisals for everyone.
  • Reward and promote people who build organizational capability.

Saturday, January 20, 2007

Comair 5191 - Confirmation bias and framing

The cockpit voice recorder (CVR) transcript of ill-fated Comair flight 5191 crash upon takeoff at Lexington this last August was just released (January 17th), and one of the interpretations of it supports cognitive issues related to "framing" and "confirmation bias". The CVR transcript is the first one on the list of links here.

Below is a copy of a post I made to a different forum on the subject. "FO" is First Officer, the pilot in the right-hand seat who took over flying once they were taxied to and on the [wrong] runway by the left-hand seat Captain. As noted earlier, the aircraft in question only has nosewheel steering for the left-hand seat, so responsibilities had to be divided this way, even though the FO was going to fly as Pilot in Command (PIC) to Atlanta once taxiing was done.

The focus of this discussion is not on failings of the crew members, but on everything else, the "system factors" that contributed to this situation, the factors that provided the metahorical gun and the ammunition, loaded the gun, cocked the hammer, and handed it to the crewmembers who, at the end of that casual chain, pulled the trigger.

The human errors can be dealt with somewhat by training individuals or crews, but the system factors need to be dealt with by changes to the infrastructure.

And, not a single word of discussion in that 30 minutes on the CVR that the taxiway or runway lights were out - from which I'd guess they had already discussed this and the FO had shared his observation from Friday evening that the Northeast end of runway 22 had no lights working at all. The only time the subject comes up again is mid-roll, after crossing the real 22, when the FO says "dat wierd with no lights" and the Captain says "yeah." That's not proof, but it's the first point at which reality differed from his mental model, and it's the first point a comment is made.

Another framing issue was their delight that they had a very simple clearance that couldn't get "any easier that that", lessening vigilence more.

But there is still the factor of the wrong airport diagram, which is still wrong. ( http://www.naco.faa.gov/d-tpp/0701/00697AD.PDF for those who don't have charts.) The taxiway they should have been using, just west of Alpha-7, is not shown. (it's visible in the photo on wikipedia, at
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Comair_Flight_5191 )

Here's one possible scenario for a different type of framing. The crew understood that A7 was going to be blocked, and got the news that the next best taxiway was in use. Whoever told them that (suppose) meant the new one, the one not shown. They looked at their charts and figured that must mean Alpha-6. They expect an intersection with no lights, no pavement markings, no signage, and four possible ways to go. They expect to see across from them 2 concrete taxiways and, to their extreme left, runway 22, which they expect to be 150 feet wide and have no lights. There is no other spot on that diagram with two concrete taxiways across from them.

But there is a place in reality with two concrete taxiways and a 150 foot wide unlit runway to their extreme left, which is where they really were.
They didn't know about the new taxiway, and they may not have realized that runway 22 was actually 150 feet wide (with only 75 usable).

So, again, nothing seemed out of place, and the decision was "really easy" - taxi to the unlit runway intersection and take the extreme left 150 foot wide runway - "impossible" to make a mistake.

It would be valuable to know what combination of barricades and signage was visible from their gate to the taxiway they took.
This discussion doesn't argue that the flight crew didn't commit errors, which they clearly did. The purpose of a safety review of this kind is not to assess legal liability, but to look for intervention points where this same kind of error could be prevented in the future.

The scenario I describe above is a perfect case where the worst possible error can occur even in a situation that the participants view as on in which an error would be impossible. (This is why operating rooms have "time outs" before surgery begins now.)

In this scenario (even if something different happened in Lexington), the tower or ground crew or briefers are working, literally, on a different map of the world than the pilots. Phrases could occur, such as "the taxiway is closed, use the next one" are rich in undetected ambiguity. Is taxiway A-7 closed its entire length, or just half way down it? Is "the next one" A-6, as shown on the flight crew's official FAA airport diagram, or is it the brand new taxiway not shown on any diagram? This phrase is not in the transcript - but we are missing the conversation where this was discussed prior to the CVR's 30 minute recording.

It could have happened, is the point. More precisely, things LIKE IT could happen in the future in different circumstances: conversational partners have different mental maps and don't realize it, and carry on what looks like an unambiguous conversation to both parties, but with totally different meaning. Framed in that context, everything that follows makes perfect sense, and even satisfies multiple cross-checks for being correct. Those in that frame say "It's impossible to get this wrong." The tower, seeing only one runway lit, could say "It's impossible to get this wrong." Vigilance is never triggered by the unfolding events on either side. The mental frame is so strong that the First Officer brought the Captain into his world as well. People are focusing on data that support their model, not looking for anything that might challenge the model - at least, not until midway through the takeoff roll.

This is, in this case, an error that following the standard protocols and procedures correctly would have detected. On the other hand, the hundreds of other check list items distracted from this one, so adding more procedures and protocols is not a guaranteed good thing. The First Officer was head down, working in the cockpit, not attending to taxiing because he was working all the other preflight checklist items.

Oh, and one more "system" factor that also would have changed the outcome entirely. The airport has a slight hill in the middle of it, so that the far end of the runways are not visible from the near end, but are out of sight over the hillcrest. The visibility is reported by ATIS ALPHA to be 8 miles. If it's correct that the crew believed the lights were just out at the near end, but turned on at the far end of the runway they sought, and the airport had been entirely flat, they would have seen at a glance that their model didn't fit. In fact, if they had seen the end of the runway even with lights on, they would have seen at a glance that it was not the longer runway.
Reviewing system factors, any one of which might have changed the outcome:
* the airport had a hill in the middle of it.
* Runway 26 was 150 feet wide, but shown on the airport diagram as 75 feet wide.
* The lights were out at the takeoff end of runway 22 for something like 30 minutes, the same window of time as when the First Officer arrived friday night and noted the situation.
* The airport diagram did not correspond to reality, lacking the extra runway. The airport diagrams that are current are still not updated. The small versions of the airport diagrams on the instrument procedure plates make it look like there is a closed runway that comes all the way down to runway 26, marked by an "X", even though the larger diagram shows there is a gap (from the one marked with several "x" flags.)
* There is at least one possible confusion of route to the takeoff point that the diagram discrepancy allows, in which a sharp left turn onto a 150-foot wide runway at the end of the taxiing made perfect and unambiguous sense.
* Only the pilot in the left hand seat could steer the nosewheel steering, which separated the pilot in command (the first officer) from the activity that was done incorrectly by the senior Captain in the left-hand seat.
* Unquestioned cultural convention demands that the higher ranking officer sit on the left side, even though it would make more sense in this aircraft to have the pilot in command sit on that side.
* The tower was understaffed, and the lone occupant was (correctly) busy with other traffic at the crucial few seconds when he otherwise might have idly watched flight 5191 taxi into position and noted the error. It wasn't the tower responsibility to do that, but it could have occured and caught the problem.
* The only person who noticed the error, apparently, a ramp worker, had no way to communicate by radio to the aircraft and his attempt to run to the runway and wave down the plane did not succeed.
* The aircraft was not equipped with the $18,000 piece of equipment that would have automatically detected the runway error and alerted the crew, possibly because the airline was in bankruptcy proceedings.
* The crew seemed to behave as if operating in violation of FAA regulations was something they were routinely expected to just do and shut up about - judging from the fact that they continued to attempt a takeoff from an unlit runway, even though the first officer sighed when he commented that the lights were out all over the place.

All of the above, while not "causal" in some senses of the word, are also factors that, if they were changed, would have changed the outcome or very likely changed the outcome of this flight. They may not alter the legal assignment of liability and "blame" for the outcome, but they should illuminate intervention points for preventing similar events in the future.


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Friday, January 19, 2007

Kennedy will ask FDA to regulate smoking




The New York Times reports that Ted Kennedy will introduce legislation to have the FDA regulate tobacco.



Here's an excerpt:

WASHINGTON, Jan. 18 — A Harvard study concluding that cigarette makers have for years deliberately increased nicotine levels in cigarettes to make them more addictive led to renewed calls Thursday for greater federal oversight of the industry.

Senator Edward M. Kennedy , the Massachusetts Democrat who is now chairman of the Senate Health, Education, Labor and Pensions Committee, promised to reintroduce within weeks a bill that would allow the Food and Drug Administration to regulate cigarettes.

Mr. Kennedy’s bill passed the Senate in 2004 but failed in the House. With Democrats now in control of both houses, public health advocates said they had new hope that the legislation — debated for more than a decade — could pass.


On that general subject, here are some great short video clips on MySpace with dark humor about smoking:

Jay Leno on Saddam Hussein and the tobacco industry

And remember to wash your hands!

When that guy across from you asks "Do you mind if I smoke?"

(photo credit: sage )

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Wednesday, January 17, 2007

Monday, January 15, 2007

Book: Building the Bridge by Robert Quinn

University of MIchigan Business School professor, Robert E. Quinn, the author of Deep Change, has written a new book Building The Bridge as You Walk On It - A guide for Leading Change.

The book shows how some very successful business organizations have converted theory into practice, using integrity and character to be the revitalizing firet hat makes it all work. In fact, Quinn argues, every one of the largest, most-successful companies seems to use this type of transformational leadership.

He has a web site for this book and other books at www.deepchange.com.

The University of Michigan Ross School of Business iTunes site
has a "seminars" section and a great talk by Robert Quinn can be
downloaded via iTunes fromt here titled "Building the Bridge from Good
to Great".

Professor Quinn presents the case that extraordinary organizations achieve extraordinary results, measured by the bottom line, by using a transformational change that comes about by first transforming the character of the organizations leadership.

Through stories, anecdotes, and exercises, he tries to make these concepts accessible, event though they fly in the face of traditional, highly-competitive theories of how to maximize wealth and productivity of a business organization by setting the managers at each other's throats in a competition to see "who is best."

The leadership style that is consistently found in the highest-performing organizations stresses character, integrity, humility, collaboration, and a leader who is oriented to care first about the organization and second about themself.

Quinn says (page 90):

[...The] fundamental state of leadership is ... the movement towards ever-increased levels of personal and collective integrity. Ever-increasing integrity is the source of life for individuals and groups.... It is the antithesis of slow death...

He goes on to discuss how continual application of this sort of "tough love" can create a collective movement in the organization to a much more empowered and creative state, and how that movement takes on a life of its own that can outlast the person who induced it, possibly even completing its work after the person has left.

He quotes Victor Frankl (1963):

What man needs is not a tensionless state, but rather the stiving and struggling for some goal worthy of him.

Teaching Resources and course Syllabi for various courses are available on-line for free as well.

Free access to previous research presentations in audio format, downloadable to iTunes or whatever you use, are also available.



















Sunday, January 14, 2007

Religion and Spirituality Weblog - UPI

United Press International (UPI) runs a website with news and commentary on multiple religions. Phyllis Edgerly Ring, a Baha'i, is a regular columnist there, with a column on tuedays entitled "One Light, Many Lamps."

It took me a few minutes to figure out how to find her postings, since that column title doesn't appear to be indexed, although her name is. If you go to the home page for religionandnspirituality.com, go to the bottom of the page on the advanced search,
and select "Phyllis Edgerly Ring" from the pull down list of "columns and features", then put anything in for a search term that is not blank (for example the word "light" without the quotes), and select the relevant dates, and you'll pull up all her articles.

You can also get there by putting "One Light, Many Lamps" in the search window at the top of the page, but I find that hard to see and the punctuation has to be exact.

Saturday, January 13, 2007

Context versus content, silos, and the EHR

This is theoretical and abstract.


The prior post here,  regarding Scott Page's work on the power of diversity in his new book "The Difference",  deals with predictions more than estimations.  The difference is crucial.

What is being pooled is a set of models, not a set of data points where each of the points estimates some true value plus noise.

More precisely, each of the models is really a subdimensional sampling of a higher dimensional reality.  Maybe the reality has 50 key factors, and each model pays attention to only 5 or so of those factors and does the best estimation it can using those.

So, in an abstract sense, the primitive elements being pooled are really reference frame choices.

That means that we are looking at a computing system, in the most abstract sense, which isn't processing "content" but is processing "context".

The equation presented by Page that I saw involves summing a set of terms, each of which takes current reality and views it through a different lens resulting in a "content" estimate.

I'm suggesting that this equation and physical reality could be refactored a different way, and seen instead as summing the lenses first,  then using the aggregated and synthesized new hyper-lens to view reality.  This "aperture synthesis" approach is probably mathematically equivalent, but touches a different part of our intuition and suggests different experiments.

In fact,  the transition has some parallels to going from an array of light sensors, such as a common house-fly's compound eye,  and changing to a model of a retina, which means there are light-sensors and also, critically, higher-vision centers that process data on an image level, not a pixel level.

This in many ways describes the sense of a peak-performance teamwork window, or peak Baha'i "consultation", where the people have in many real ways given up individual "ego" and become, in crucial ways, a larger system that operates as if a single larger being.   It is as though the slime-mold individual cells have flowed together and, for the moment, formed a larger living being that can act as if it was a single living thing, but then when it reaches its destination dissolves again into individuals.

The above part of this post describes changing the idea of a "central [content] processing unit" (CPU) to a "central [context] processing state" (CCPS).

Something like this appears to me to be necessary to overcome, for example, the breakdown of health system hospitals and the clinical medical area into hundreds or thousands of tertiary specialties, each of which forms silos and a type of fractal-shaped world in which "data" about the patient is observed by these tertiary specialists. 

The key problem with "The Electronic Health Record", which seeks to "consolidate" all these disparate system's data,  is that most of the meaning of the data is context-sensitive.

This is mathematically equivalent to the world described in the Hilbert Space of cosmological General Relativity, where local warps and curvature of the underlying space-time metric distort not only the thing being observed, but also the observer.

Digression into general relativity:

In Relativity,  it is not possible to simply take a "set of measurements" made in context A, and lift them off the map, and plop them down unaltered into context B, and then compare them to what an observer in context B measured and get anything that makes sense. 

For example, if two observers are racing towards each other at 99.995% of the speed of light, each, if they can see the other, will observe the other's clock to be moving more slowly than their own.   Initially, we say this is clearly a "paradox".  How could both of these things be true? They seem "inconsistent".   At this point most incorrect interpretations of the situation say "nothing can be measured, everything is relative" and go off the deep end.

What Einstein said is very different. He said that, if you take observation A, and slide it through space over to context B, and as you slide it, adjust it for the sliding process and the change in space-warp that is occurring under you,  when it reaches context B, it will agree entirely with what a credible observer in context B observed.  This process of "parallel transfer" of tensor data is crucial to reconciling observations made in different reference frames or differently warped contexts by perfectly credible, perfectly accurate observers who are themselves embedded in those reference frames.

In fact, Einstein went on to say that you could equivalently parallel transfer both observations to a "flat" reference frame, a perfect one with no distortion, where they would both have changed, but would now agree entirely with each other.  He said, there is indeed a "proper" reference frame that could be used, if you want, in which to do data comparisons and aggregation.

Return to the discussion

The reason I raise general relativity is not to confuse things, but to point out that there are solid physical models and existing mathematical tools for dealing with context-sensitive data.  They are not for the timid.

However, they provide in some way a guide to what is probably going to be needed to get a central "Electronic Health Record"  (EHR) to work - namely, that the hard work be done to relate each of the sub-specialties to a "proper" or "flat" central reference frame, so that the data can be distorted and transformed properly as it is moved from the tertiary specialy subsystem to the central data repository.

Distorted? Transformed?  (The audit trail people have run screaming from the room.)

Yes, distorted.  When a clinical oncologist says that a person "has cancer" this does not mean the same thing at all as when a patient says he "has cancer."  The words look identical, but the meaning is different.  What is being said, and the whole worldful of implications of what is being said, is entirely different.  You cannot just take the words that mean something within one context and remove them from context and plop them down somewhere else in a different context.  That is an illegal operation, mathematically, that is more wrong than "distorting" or "correcting" the words for the context as best one can.

And, if you did, the tertiary specialists would never want to "read" the central EHR record summary of the patient, because they would either get the wrong idea of what was being said, or be totally confused.  Their first question for every "observation" would have to be (and typically is) - "Who said that?"   They don't mean just what person said that, with what level of expertise, but in what specialty, in what context, with what level of sophistication and discrimination were those exact words selected?

And, are those, in fact, the exact words, or did some coding clerk, generically trained, take the carefully selected words of a specialist and replace them with some sort of universal least-common-denominator phrasing?

No, we can see that the context of tertiary specialists IT systems in fact hold much, perhaps 99% or more, of the meaning of any given set of words, of what is being tacitly or implicitly said in shorthand by that exact choice of language.

So, they would actually never want to go to the Clnicical data central repository to "read all about" the patient. What they would want is that any and all relevant data be transformed the other direction,  be brought into their tertiary context world,  and stated precisely in their own shorthand.  Then they can find it more useful than misleading.

As with Hilbert space or general relativity's "tensors", some data corresponds to rank-zero data, ie, scalars, and can in fact translate from one place to another by just lifting it up and moving it.  Number of children is invariant.  Temperature,  list of drugs currently being given, schedule for next tuesday, home phone number, etc.   These are not context-sensitive.

But much of the clinically significant readings are, in fact,  extraordinarily context sensitive. Some mean absolutely nothing outside of the small circle of specialists. 

I suspect that this problem, of a fractal metric underlying clincial data and practice "silos", is one that will be the shoals upon which many EHR ships will be lost.













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Book: The Difference by Scott E. Page


Can a crowd of average people be smarter than experts? "Yes, but only if they are very diverse" is the latest academic resarch finding.

In fact, in the equations, it turns out that diversity is just as important as other measures, such as IQ, in helping people make good predictions about the future and good policy decisions.

And, if we look deeper, even the experts, it turns out, are experts partly because they are walking containers of many very diverse alternative mental models, which they apply to problems, thereby doing a sort of internal diverse-crowd activity.

A new book coming out January 15th is titled "The Difference: How the Power of Diversity Creates Better Groups, Firms, Schools, and Societies " by researcher Scott E. Page.

Scott Page is a Professor of Complex Systems, Political Science, And Economics at the University of Michigan. He is internationally known for his work on complex systems and his research has affected the discussion of affirmative action at the University of Michigan and the US Supreme Court.

Here is a direct link to the Book Website and his other writings on Diversity.

According to the Princeton Press, quoted at that book website,

In this landmark book, Scott Page redefines the way weunderstand ourselves in relation to each other. The Difference is about how we think in groups,about how our collective wisdom exceeds the sum of its parts. Why can teams ofpeople find better solutions than brilliant individuals working alone? And whyare the best group decisions and predictions those that draw upon the veryqualities that make each of us unique? The answers lie in diversity-not what welook like outside, but what we look like within, our distinct tools andabilities.

The Difference reveals that progress and innovation may depend less onlone thinkers with enormous IQs than on diverse people working together andcapitalizing on their individuality. Page shows how groups that display a rangeof perspectives outperform groups of like-minded experts. Diversity yieldssuperior outcomes, and Page proves it using his own cutting-edge research.Moving beyond the politics that cloud standard debates about diversity, heexplains why difference beats out homogeneity, whether you're talking aboutcitizens in a democracy or scientists in the laboratory. He examines practicalways to apply diversity's logic to a host of problems, and along the way offersfascinating and surprising examples, from the redesign of the Chicago"El" to the truth about where we store our ketchup.

Page changes the way we understand diversity--how to harnessits untapped potential, how to understand and avoid its traps, and how we canleverage our differences for the benefit of all.

Yesterday I went to a talk given by Professor Page, that went over chapters seven and eight of that book focusing on "cogintive diversity and predictive models."

He put his book in context and also had nice things to say about two other books currently on the market - "The Wisdom of Crowds " by James Surowiecki, and " Blink: The power of thinking without thinking " by Malcolm Gladwell.

I haven't had a chance to read The Difference yet, since it isn't out, and some of it may be more mathematical than some readers prefer - but it does look like required reading for anyone who wants to build a solid theoretical understanding of why "diversity" is a critical element of good social policy or even good corporate policy.

In fact, some corporations, such as Google or HP, already use internal group thinking and voting to predict whether products will be successful, or other "unknowables", with a success factor greater than the "experts".

The implications of this for democracy and social are profound. And, certainly, the scholars of the Baha'i Faith, centered on principles of "unity with diversity" and collaborative "consultation" should check this out this very important book that connects the science with the social principles.

I have many prior posts on the key problem of unity and diversity, seen as the core problem of any social organization (overcoming "silos"), or countries (Iraq today, or the USA and "e pluribus unum") or the mathematical or biological principles on which multicellular life is a good idea (specialization versus wholeness), or on the policies with respect to Information Technolgy centralization or decentralization, or on the general, scale-independent concept of "health" and "public health". The breakdown in unity and loss of social capital or social connectivity seems to be correlated, perhaps causally, with very substantial increases in morbidity and mortality. This whole question of how to be simultaneously independent individuals and part of a larger society that doesn't turn into a diversity-less "Borg" is fascinating, and central to protecting our social values.

Unity with Diversity is the key problem
e pluibus unum (US social unity)
Social Intelligence (Daniel Goleman's book)
Healing Through Unity Newsletter




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